Results: Presidential Primary Poll

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The following graphs show vote allocation of our members according to race, gender, and our members' response to questions about the effect of negative campaigning on their decision, when they made their decision, and if they'd participated in a Presidential or Presidential primary.


Race

Black
Hillary Clinton (7.1%)

John Edwards (1.9%)

Barack Obama (84.8%)

Undecided (3.6%)

White
Hillary Clinton (13.3%)

John Edwards (23.2%)

Barack Obama (55.6%)

Undecided (2.8%)

Latino
Hillary Clinton (22.1%)

John Edwards (15.0%)

Barack Obama (56.7%)

Undecided (1.3%)

Asian-American
Hillary Clinton (16.2%)

John Edwards (9.5%)

Barack Obama (64.9%)

Undecided (2.7%)

Mixed-Race/ Ethnicity
Hillary Clinton (11.9%)

John Edwards (9.5%)

Barack Obama (68.3%)

Undecided (4.9%)

Other
Hillary Clinton (11.7%)

John Edwards (13.9%)

Barack Obama (62.0%)

Undecided (5.5%)


Members were able to specify a combination of choices for race/ethnicity, including "Black," "White," "Latino," "Asian/Asian-American","Native American," "Arab-American," "Pacific Islander," "Non-native African/Caribbean," "Prefer not to say," and "Other." In this chart, "Other" is used to capture ethnic groups that were not reflected at sufficient levels to yield statistically significant results.
 


1st Time Voter in Presidential Election

1st time voter
Hillary Clinton (8.7%)

John Edwards (4.4%)

Barack Obama (74.5%)

Undecided (2.8%)

Has voted for President before
Hillary Clinton (10.7%)

John Edwards (12.6%)

Barack Obama (69.6%)

Undecided (3.5%)


We asked members the following question: "Have you ever voted in a Presidential election before?" The possible answers were "Yes" and "No."
 


1st Time Primary Voters

1st time primary voter
Hillary Clinton (8.4%)

John Edwards (5.6%)

Barack Obama (76.2%)

Undecided (3.6%)

Has voted in primary before
Hillary Clinton (11.4%)

John Edwards (14.3%)

Barack Obama (67.8%)

Undecided (3.3%)


We asked members the following question: "Have you ever voted in a primary before?" The possible answers were "Yes" and "No."
 


Timing of Decision

The choice of people who decided within the last 10 days
Hillary Clinton (7.4%)

John Edwards (10.4%)

Barack Obama (75.9%)

Undecided (1.8%)

The choice of people who decided within the last 2 weeks
Hillary Clinton (6.9%)

John Edwards (8.7%)

Barack Obama (79.9%)

Undecided (1.0%)

The choice of people who decided more than a month ago
Hillary Clinton (12.2%)

John Edwards (13.2%)

Barack Obama (69.1%)

Undecided (1.4%)


We asked members the following question: "When did you make your decision about which candidates to support?" The possible answers were "Within the last 10 days," "Within the last 2 weeks," and "More than a month ago." The survey went out on early morning on 1-29.
 


Effect of Negative Campaigns on Decisions

Very affected by negative campaigns voted for
Hillary Clinton (2.5%)

John Edwards (11.6%)

Barack Obama (78.2%)

Undecided (4.2%)

Not affected by negative campaigns voted for
Hillary Clinton (13.7%)

John Edwards (11.8%)

Barack Obama (67.9%)

Undecided (1.9%)

Somewhat affected by negative campaings voted for
Hillary Clinton (8.7%)

John Edwards (12.8%)

Barack Obama (71.4%)

Undecided (4.0%)


We asked members the following question: "Some campaigns have gone "negative" recently. Has that influenced your decision?" The possible answers were "Very much," "Somewhat," and "Not at all."
 


Gender

Female
Hillary Clinton (11.8%)

John Edwards (9.6%)

Barack Obama (72.2%)

Undecided (3.6%)

Male
Hillary Clinton (7.7%)

John Edwards (17.5%)

Barack Obama (65.0%)

Undecided (2.9%)


Members were given the option to specify gender other than male and female, however there were not enough respondents specifying "other" to make a statistically significant conclusion.
 


Age

18-25
Hillary Clinton (10.5%)

John Edwards (5.0%)

Barack Obama (75.3%)

Undecided (2.3%)

26-35
Hillary Clinton (8.9%)

John Edwards (5.3%)

Barack Obama (77.9%)

Undecided (3.5%)

36-45
Hillary Clinton (8.7%)

John Edwards (9.1%)

Barack Obama (73.6%)

Undecided (4.4%)

46-55
Hillary Clinton (11.1%)

John Edwards (14.6%)

Barack Obama (68.2%)

Undecided (3.2%)

56-65
Hillary Clinton (12.5%)

John Edwards (18.0%)

Barack Obama (63.9%)

Undecided (2.6%)

66-75
Hillary Clinton (13.6%)

John Edwards (19.6%)

Barack Obama (60.7%)

Undecided (3.6%)

Over 75
Hillary Clinton (13.4%)

John Edwards (21.7%)

Barack Obama (54.2%)

Undecided (5.9%)